{"id":488,"date":"2023-05-20T18:14:54","date_gmt":"2023-05-20T18:14:54","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/lasstatistique.com\/?p=488"},"modified":"2023-09-14T01:41:09","modified_gmt":"2023-09-14T01:41:09","slug":"article","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/lasstatistique.com\/?p=488","title":{"rendered":"Adam Smith avait tort !"},"content":{"rendered":"\r\n<p>Vous vous rappelez peut-\u00eatre cette sc\u00e8ne du film \u00ab\u00a0<em>Un homme d\u2019exception (A <\/em><em>beautiful<\/em> <em>mind<\/em><em>)\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>\u00a0o\u00f9 Nash, prend un verre avec ses copains et utilise la th\u00e9orie des jeux pour d\u00e9montrer que la strat\u00e9gie optimale pour draguer le groupe de filles qui vient d\u2019entrer dans le bar est, \u00e9tonnamment, d\u2019\u00e9viter de draguer celle qu\u2019ils pr\u00e9f\u00e8rent tous. Au terme de cette sc\u00e8ne, Nash s\u2019exclame\u00a0: \u00ab <em>Adam Smith avait tort<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>En proposant le principe de la \u00ab\u00a0main invisible\u00a0\u00bb, Adam Smith (1776) pensait concilier l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat collectif et l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat individuel. Pour l\u2019\u00e9conomiste \u00e9cossais du XVIII<sup>e<\/sup>\u00a0si\u00e8cle, l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat g\u00e9n\u00e9ral n\u2019est pas le r\u00e9sultat de la bonne volont\u00e9 du souverain ou de l\u2019action \u00e9clair\u00e9e de l\u2019\u00c9tat. C\u2019est, au contraire, dans le commerce entre les individus fond\u00e9 sur la poursuite des int\u00e9r\u00eats \u00e9go\u00efstes de chacun qu\u2019il doit naturellement \u00e9merger.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Ce n\u2019est pas de la bienveillance du boucher, du boulanger ou du marchand de bi\u00e8re dont nous attendons notre d\u00eener, mais bien du soin qu\u2019ils apportent \u00e0 leurs int\u00e9r\u00eats. Nous ne nous adressons pas \u00e0 leur humanit\u00e9, mais \u00e0 leur \u00e9go\u00efsme\u00a0; et ce n\u2019est jamais de nos besoins que nous leur parlons, c\u2019est toujours de leur avantage.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Le principe de la main invisible a \u00e9t\u00e9 remis en cause, avec notamment l\u2019apport des th\u00e9oriciens des jeux qui ont montr\u00e9 que la confrontation des int\u00e9r\u00eats individuels ne d\u00e9bouche pas n\u00e9cessairement sur l\u2019optimum collectif (Pareto). Le mod\u00e8le de base qui illustre les limites du principe de la main invisible est celui du dilemme du prisonnier. Ce mod\u00e8le, propos\u00e9 en\u00a01950 par les math\u00e9maticiens de la Rand Corporation, Melvin Dresher et Merrill Flood, et formalis\u00e9 par Albert Tucker, attire l\u2019attention sur le fait que la poursuite de l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat personnel peut conduire \u00e0 une situation sous-optimale au sens de Pareto.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Le dilemme du prisonnier peut \u00eatre illustr\u00e9 de la fa\u00e7on suivante\u00a0: deux bandits sont arr\u00eat\u00e9s et isol\u00e9s. Les enqu\u00eateurs n\u2019ont pas suffisamment d\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ments pour les condamner. On leur propose, s\u00e9par\u00e9ment, de coop\u00e9rer avec la police en d\u00e9non\u00e7ant le partenaire. Celui qui coop\u00e8re est rel\u00e2ch\u00e9, tandis que l\u2019autre \u00e9cope de plusieurs ann\u00e9es d\u2019emprisonnement. Si aucun ne d\u00e9nonce l\u2019autre, ils subiront une faible peine. Aucune communication entre les deux prisonniers n\u2019est possible. Ce dilemme illustre le conflit entre l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat individuel qui dicte de d\u00e9noncer son complice et l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat collectif qui consiste \u00e0 se taire.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Vous vous rappelez peut-\u00eatre cette sc\u00e8ne du film \u00ab\u00a0<em>Un homme d\u2019exception (A <\/em><em>beautiful<\/em> <em>mind<\/em><em>)\u00a0\u00bb<\/em>\u00a0o\u00f9 Nash, prend un verre avec ses copains et utilise la th\u00e9orie des jeux pour d\u00e9montrer que la strat\u00e9gie optimale pour draguer le groupe de filles qui vient d\u2019entrer dans le bar est, \u00e9tonnamment, d\u2019\u00e9viter de draguer celle qu\u2019ils pr\u00e9f\u00e8rent tous. Au terme de cette sc\u00e8ne, Nash s\u2019exclame\u00a0: \u00ab <em>Adam Smith avait tort<\/em>\u00a0\u00bb.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>En proposant le principe de la \u00ab\u00a0main invisible\u00a0\u00bb, Adam Smith (1776) pensait concilier l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat collectif et l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat individuel. Pour l\u2019\u00e9conomiste \u00e9cossais du XVIII<sup>e<\/sup>\u00a0si\u00e8cle, l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat g\u00e9n\u00e9ral n\u2019est pas le r\u00e9sultat de la bonne volont\u00e9 du souverain ou de l\u2019action \u00e9clair\u00e9e de l\u2019\u00c9tat. C\u2019est, au contraire, dans le commerce entre les individus fond\u00e9 sur la poursuite des int\u00e9r\u00eats \u00e9go\u00efstes de chacun qu\u2019il doit naturellement \u00e9merger.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Ce n\u2019est pas de la bienveillance du boucher, du boulanger ou du marchand de bi\u00e8re dont nous attendons notre d\u00eener, mais bien du soin qu\u2019ils apportent \u00e0 leurs int\u00e9r\u00eats. Nous ne nous adressons pas \u00e0 leur humanit\u00e9, mais \u00e0 leur \u00e9go\u00efsme\u00a0; et ce n\u2019est jamais de nos besoins que nous leur parlons, c\u2019est toujours de leur avantage.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Le principe de la main invisible a \u00e9t\u00e9 remis en cause, avec notamment l\u2019apport des th\u00e9oriciens des jeux qui ont montr\u00e9 que la confrontation des int\u00e9r\u00eats individuels ne d\u00e9bouche pas n\u00e9cessairement sur l\u2019optimum collectif (Pareto). Le mod\u00e8le de base qui illustre les limites du principe de la main invisible est celui du dilemme du prisonnier. Ce mod\u00e8le, propos\u00e9 en\u00a01950 par les math\u00e9maticiens de la Rand Corporation, Melvin Dresher et Merrill Flood, et formalis\u00e9 par Albert Tucker, attire l\u2019attention sur le fait que la poursuite de l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat personnel peut conduire \u00e0 une situation sous-optimale au sens de Pareto.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Le dilemme du prisonnier peut \u00eatre illustr\u00e9 de la fa\u00e7on suivante\u00a0: deux bandits sont arr\u00eat\u00e9s et isol\u00e9s. Les enqu\u00eateurs n\u2019ont pas suffisamment d\u2019\u00e9l\u00e9ments pour les condamner. On leur propose, s\u00e9par\u00e9ment, de coop\u00e9rer avec la police en d\u00e9non\u00e7ant le partenaire. Celui qui coop\u00e8re est rel\u00e2ch\u00e9, tandis que l\u2019autre \u00e9cope de plusieurs ann\u00e9es d\u2019emprisonnement. Si aucun ne d\u00e9nonce l\u2019autre, ils subiront une faible peine. Aucune communication entre les deux prisonniers n\u2019est possible. Ce dilemme illustre le conflit entre l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat individuel qui dicte de d\u00e9noncer son complice et l\u2019int\u00e9r\u00eat collectif qui consiste \u00e0 se taire.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<div class=\"wp-block-file\"><a id=\"wp-block-file--media-8ad7783c-69f4-4260-9663-7cfdf64befae\" href=\"https:\/\/lasstatistique.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/adam-smith.png\">John Forbes Nash<\/a><a class=\"wp-block-file__button wp-element-button\" href=\"https:\/\/lasstatistique.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/05\/adam-smith.png\" download=\"\" aria-describedby=\"wp-block-file--media-8ad7783c-69f4-4260-9663-7cfdf64befae\">T\u00e9l\u00e9charger<\/a><\/div>\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Vous vous rappelez peut-\u00eatre cette sc\u00e8ne du film \u00ab\u00a0Un homme d\u2019exception (A beautiful mind)\u00a0\u00bb\u00a0o\u00f9 Nash, prend un verre avec ses<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":560,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"colormag_page_container_layout":"default_layout","colormag_page_sidebar_layout":"default_layout","footnotes":""},"categories":[35],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-488","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-articles"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Adam Smith avait tort ! 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